Saturday, November 30, 2013

Heuristics in Politics. A guest post by Sal Schiano.


       In What Americans Know about Politics[i], Michael Carpini describes the availability heuristic: “what Americans know most about politics is what is most readily available to them.”
Research has shown time and again that the majority of voters in America know almost nothing about the American political system and their representatives.[ii] How then, do they decide who to vote for office? This is one of the central questions in political psychology: how does an uninformed public make choices? The question can be answered through the science of cognitive psychology.
        The answer is through the use of heuristics, or “shortcuts” of understanding. The average U.S. citizen does not spend all of their time in determining who they are going to vote for in the next election. In fact the majority spend little to no time in evaluating the actualities of political candidates. The average American is busy and has no time for this, nor do they believe their vote matters anyways. Instead, to choose candidates they rely on the use of heuristics. This use may be accurate often but may also lead to inaccurate assumptions. Politicians are aware of the public’s ignorance and use of heuristics, they therefore employ cognitive psychological methods to try and secure votes. Priming, framing, and activation are three tools politicians use for elections to gain more votes, but they would not be possible without the prior knowledge of certain heuristics.
        Lau & Redlawsk attribute the use of five major heuristics in determining who the public votes for.[iii] What they determine as the most important heuristic is party affiliation. This refers to which party a particular candidate belongs to, anywhere from Libertarian to Communist, or the more common: Democrat and Republican. The voter identifies which party they believe they agree with more and often choose the candidate that too belongs to that party, this is the party heuristic. A similar heuristic is the ideology heuristic. Voters rely on some of the choices representatives make and group them with other decisions they think would be made because of the one particular decision previously made. This heuristic is flawed as it could cause an individual to vote for a candidate who say, may not stand for gun rights even though they are pro-military. 


       Another heuristic used by voters is the endorsement heuristic: when voters attribute the qualities of the endorser of a particular candidate to the political candidate. Politicians have used this heuristic to their advantage when they seek out a particular endorsement from a celebrity, company, etc. For example, one from a popular former president, such as President Obama did with Bill Clinton in 2008 and again in 2012. Voters know Bill Clinton and many liked him, because they like Bill and Bill likes Barack, they like Barack.
       A common heuristic that is not referenced often is the viability heuristic. Polls provide this through the use of a candidates “standing” in the electoral race. The use of easy to read percentages, bar graphs, and colors add to the cognitive saving heuristic of viability. This heuristic is used often early in the political race when there are more candidates. In this way voters are able to see who is winning and who is losing, sometimes severely, and quickly make the decision, say, not to vote for the guy with 3.2%. 
       The final heuristic Lau & Redlawsk argue is the candidate appearance heuristic. This is of utmost importance in voter decision because it is not restricted to anything but visual imagery. The voter can make a decision based off a single picture, because of all the information it provides, i.e. gender, race, age, and “likeableness,” which is reinforced by societal stereotypes. Voters who know nothing about politics can use this to make a decision, accurate or not. Some political scientists refer to this heuristic as the “have-a-beer” heuristic: in which the candidate seems like someone you’d want to have a beer with, which often locks in your vote. An example of this was President Obama’s famous beer summit in 2009. 


[i] Carpini, Michael. What Americans Know about Politics and Why It Matters. New Haven: Yale UP, 1996. Print.
[ii] Philip E. Converse (2006) The nature of belief systems in mass publics (1964), Critical Review: A Journal of Politics and Society, 18:1-3, 1-74,
[iii] Advantages and Disadvantages of Cognitive Heuristics in Political Decision Making
Richard R. Lau and David P. Redlawsk
American Journal of Political Science , Vol. 45, No. 4 (Oct., 2001), pp. 951-971

No comments:

Post a Comment